India is likely to have overtaken China as the world’s most populous country this month, the UN said on Monday, as the world body put the clearest marker yet on its estimate of when the demographic crossover between the two Asian nations occurred.
The switch between the two population billionaires would be accompanied by divergent futures, with India’s population “virtually certain” to continue growing in the coming decades, while China’s was now in decline.
The exact timing of the long-awaited crossover has been the source of much speculation, with officials blaming a paucity of accurate statistics for delays in pinpointing the timing of the event.
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