If Han Jun is right, over the next three decades a population the combined size of Germany, France, Britain, Italy, South Korea, South Africa, Spain, Poland and Canada will up sticks and move to China's swelling cities. Mr Han, a rural expert at the Development Research Council, reckons that by 2040, the number of people in China's countryside will have shrunk by 500m to just 400m. On that assumption, China's city-dwellers would rise to well over 1bn, catapulting the urban population from 45 per cent of the total to around 70 per cent.
如果韓俊是正確的，未來30年將有相當(dāng)于德國、法國、英國、意大利、韓國、南非、西班牙、波蘭和加拿大人口總和的中國人，遷居到該國不斷膨脹的城市里。韓俊是中國國務(wù)院發(fā)展研究中心農(nóng)村問題專家。他估計，到2040年，中國將僅有4億農(nóng)村人口，較目前減少5億。按照這一假定，中國的城市居民數(shù)量將遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)超過10億，從而推動城市居民人口在總?cè)丝谥兴急壤龔?5%升至70%左右。