International crises never flare up at random. However unexpected they seem, closer examination shows them to have been as well signalled as the ticking black bomb in a Tom and Jerry cartoon. The UN Monitoring Group’s recent report on Somalia and Eritrea is just such an event. Its fuse has been merrily fizzing for nine long years.
國際危機從來不是隨隨便便爆發的。不管看上去多么出乎意料，如果更仔細地考察一下，就會發現它們都曾發出過明顯的信號，就像動畫片《貓和老鼠》(Tom and Jerry)中滴答不停的黑色炸彈一樣。聯合國監測組(UN Monitoring Group)近期一份有關索馬里和厄立特里亞的報告就是這樣一個事件。這條導火索已“嗞嗞”燃燒了9年之久。
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